This is an extensive text that covers various statistical topics relevant to machine learning research, specifically in the field of mech interp (machine learning-based interpretation). Here's a summary and key takeaways:
**Statistical Concepts**
1. **Power calculations**: The likelihood of finding evidence significantly supporting a hypothesis, given a hypothesized effect size, sample size, and significance threshold. 2. **Permutation testing**: A statistical method for checking whether an analysis has a problem by shuffling the dependent variable early on. 3. **Frequentism vs. Bayesian methods**: Frequentist statistics are suitable for communicating research outputs, while Bayesian methods can be helpful but may damage clarity.
**Common Statistical Pitfalls**
1. **Outliers**: Addressing outliers with more obscure methods will generally just lead to analyses becoming harder to read. 2. **Non-independence**: Evaluating statistical significance or fitting a classifier without considering non-independence (e.g., hierarchical data) can lead to misleading results. 3. **Artifacts**: Exotic analysis techniques, such as z-scoring, can introduce artifacts that affect the similarity measure.
**Best Practices**
1. **Simplicity is key**: Avoid unnecessary complexity in analyses and reports. 2. **Use permutation testing**: This method can help identify problems with analyses or findings. 3. **Consider power calculations**: Understand the likelihood of finding evidence significantly supporting a hypothesis, given your research design. 4. **Avoid post-hoc testing**: Test hypotheses after collecting data once, as this can lead to false positives.
**Common Statistical Techniques**
1. **Pearson correlation**: A commonly used measure of linear association between two variables. 2. **Spearman rank correlation**: An alternative measure of linear association that is more robust to outliers. 3. **Multilevel linear regression**: A statistical technique for modeling data with hierarchical structure.
Overall, the text emphasizes the importance of considering power calculations, permutation testing, and avoiding unnecessary complexity in analyses and reports. By following these guidelines, researchers can increase the validity and clarity of their results.